Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.319016 3.693369 4.099244 4.573061 5.112351 5.708598 6.419838
2025-04-06 2.738774 3.231451 3.803617 4.521207 5.402696 6.457303 7.825225
2025-04-13 2.281044 2.804260 3.442191 4.284722 5.379352 6.768712 8.690249
2025-04-20 2.051887 2.609641 3.317776 4.294746 5.626433 7.405838 10.010639
2025-04-27 1.904713 2.494630 3.270451 4.382736 5.965160 8.180183 11.596342
2025-05-04 1.784234 2.397839 3.230293 4.465398 6.291722 8.958997 13.276491
2025-05-11 1.672568 2.299612 3.174135 4.512210 6.561285 9.672665 14.940628
2025-05-18 1.573106 2.207905 3.115741 4.544492 6.804384 10.362929 16.649767
2025-05-25 1.443149 2.060418 2.961813 4.414357 6.775613 10.610944 17.640167
2025-06-01 1.349190 1.958361 2.866137 4.363130 6.863054 11.050607 19.013280
2025-06-08 1.270971 1.873841 2.789643 4.333504 6.979268 11.545338 20.546558
2025-06-15 1.241389 1.861577 2.823652 4.485275 7.415641 12.644314 23.380319
2025-06-22 1.175612 1.789278 2.758888 4.469676 7.564558 13.254262 25.376276
2025-06-29 1.110748 1.714126 2.684028 4.430117 7.666088 13.787585 27.303173
2025-07-06 1.016119 1.584399 2.509735 4.201026 7.393310 13.565165 27.571150
2025-07-13 0.973121 1.537318 2.471127 4.211153 7.573250 14.258544 29.981130
2025-07-20 0.946552 1.515882 2.474432 4.297197 7.907662 15.305401 33.387076
2025-07-27 0.920898 1.494170 2.475317 4.377980 8.238678 16.384961 37.070715
2025-08-03 0.891527 1.464054 2.458920 4.423720 8.501605 17.348213 40.645527
2025-08-10 0.862063 1.431904 2.436473 4.455262 8.737007 18.278285 44.314564
2025-08-17 0.812344 1.360824 2.338193 4.328109 8.618112 18.374142 45.730696
2025-08-24 0.776639 1.313107 2.280361 4.278052 8.662986 18.862060 48.343327
2025-08-31 0.746056 1.273101 2.234591 4.249101 8.751957 19.467598 51.421264